Candidates react to local poll results

A poll is showing a tight two-way race in North Okanagan-Shuswap but the survey has its critics.

A poll is showing a tight two-way race in North Okanagan-Shuswap but the survey has its critics.

When asked if a federal election were held today, which party and its candidate in the riding of North Okanagan-Shuswap would you most likely vote for or be learning towards at this time, an Oraclepoll Research survey commissioned by a group of local citizens shows 41 per cent support for the NDP, 38 per cent for the Conservatives, 12 per cent for the Liberals and nine per cent for the Greens.

“Based on the conversations at the doorstep and at forums, we’re hearing those results,” said Jacqui Gingras, with the NDP.

The results are based on 85 per cent of the sample of decided voters polled. Fifteen per cent stated they had not made up their mind about who they will support.

“We don’t put all of our emphasis on polls and we have to work hard. We have to reach as many people as possible,” said Gingras.

Conservative Mel Arnold says he’s focused on election day, Oct. 19.

“I’m hearing it’s a little tighter than usual but I’m hearing we have good support,” he said.

Arnold questions the poll’s sample size of 312 people.

“Polling in the last few years has been a real challenge and there’s no clear outcome until election day,” he said.

Liberal Cindy Derkaz dismisses the poll and believes the group of citizens is connected to Renewing Democracy Through Co-operation.

“The group was started by Jacqui Gingras and she has been very involved in it,” said Derkaz.

“The whole poll is rather dubious. The sample size is very small. Our results from 23,000 attempted contacts and door knockings show something different. We are very strong and ahead of the NDP.”

Warren Bell, spokesperson for the residents who commissioned the poll, says some are members of Renewing Democracy and some are not, and the poll was non-partisan.

“We chose deliberately to do it as a group of citizens. A poll is a little more objective than guess work,” he said.

“We wanted to be separate from anything (groups) that had a formal structure.”

Gingras confirms she was a member of Renewing Democracy but stepped away when the election campaign began.

“I haven’t contributed any money to the poll or participated in the poll,” she said.

Green Chris George is not surprised by the poll showing nine per cent support for his party.

“That’s pretty consistent with the results in 2011 and what we’ve been hearing,” he said.

“In 2011, we garnered 10.7 per cent of the vote and that was with a full campaign. We haven’t gone as flat out (in 2015) and to have similar results as 2011 is a good thing.”

The citizens behind the poll describe themselves as not being affiliated with any party or special interest, and their goal is to assist voters in making a decision. However, a letter from the group states, “It is clear that if you are a voter who wants a regime change, then you should vote for the candidate, other than the Conservative Party candidate, who is highest in the standings. On the other hand, if you want to maintain the status quo as is, then you should vote for the Conservative Party candidate.”

Bell denies his group is anti-Conservative.

“We wanted to try as hard as we could to give everyone an option to do what they want to do,” he said.

The Oraclepoll Research poll was conducted Oct. 5 and 6 in the North Okanagan-Shuswap. A total of 312 people 18 years and over were interviewed and the margin of error is plus or minus 5.5 per cent, 19 out of 20 times. The survey was conducted using computer-assisted techniques of phone interviewing and random number selection.

Oraclepoll asked a series of questions and the results can be found at http://pollokanaganshuswap.weebly.com.

Just Posted

Shuswap Middle School requests city’s help in resurfacing sports courts

Total cost estimated at $43,000, school would like 50 per cent contribution

Warm winter clothes wanted for Women Who Wine, Downtown Salmon Arm initiative

Clothing for Community event on Oct. 29 to support Lighthouse Shelter, SAFE Society, CMHA

North-Okanagan Shuswap candidates spending little on Facebook

Social media platform posts what federal parties have paid to advertise

Non-compliant buoys to be removed from Shuswap, Mara lakes

Transport Canada enforcement action to occur Oct. 21 to 25

Coalition talk at Okanagan College candidates forum

Vernon Students’ Association hosts forum to discuss important youth issues, minority government

Competition shakes up for the Okanagan Mixoff

The Okanagan Mixoff takes place Nov. 7 in Kelowna

Woman, 24, faces life-altering injuries after being dragged 4 blocks by vehicle in Vancouver

A gofundme account says the woman will have to undergo multiple complex surgeries

Fatal overdoses down by 33% in B.C., but carfentanil deaths continue to spike

Carfentanil, an illicit drug more powerful than fentanyl, causing more deaths than ever

South Okanagan dangerous offender guilty plea struck down

Trial delayed again because Ronald Teneycke failed to elect his choice of trial

Six bears destroyed in three days in West Kelowna

A West Kelowna business has been charged for leaving garbage around Lake Okanagan Resort

West Kelowna Warriors being sold back to BC Hockey League

Current owner Kim Dobranski said the sale back to the BCHL should be completed by the end of October

Police standoff ends peacefully in West Kelowna

A distraught man was taken into custody Wednesday afternoon

Most Read